Even though this is a mostly libertarian blog, I try to avoid politics and stick to philosophy or economics (or, obviously, other stuff…), however, I’m very interested in political scams. I say that the reason governments exist is to transfer wealth and power form the productive class to the political class and political scams are one the ways this transfer happens. I also believe that the story with the most explanatory power is probably the closest to the truth. With those things in mind, here’s what I think’s probably happening with Israel and Ukraine.

I can’t substantiate any of this. It’s only speculation.

Ukraine

You can look deeper into the history of this if you want, but, in the 2004/5 Ukrainian presidential election pro-Russian candidate, Viktor Yanukovich’s victory was overturned in favor of the pro-NATO candidate, Viktor Yuschenko, in what was called the Orange Revolution. In light of what happened in 2014, that seems fishy and I’m inclined to think the CIA had something to do with that. The CIA certainly orchestrated the Maidan Revolution in 2014, where Yanukovich, who had won the Ukrainian election again in 2010, was removed from office and replaced with pro-NATO puppet, Petro Poroschenko. You can hear then US undersecretary of state, Victoria Nuland making her famous “Fuck the EU” statement to Ambassador Geoffery Pyatt about who should be installed in the new Ukrainian government after securing the coup.

The southeastern, pro-Russian region of Donbas rejected the coup and voted to separate from Ukraine and join Russia (the people in the region are considered ethnic Russians). This sparked the Donbas War, where Ukraine shelled the region for years.

Russia invaded Crimea to secure their lease of the Sevastopol naval base and the people of Crimea voted to leave Ukraine.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy became president of Ukraine in 2019 and pushed for Ukrainian membership in the anti-Russian NATO alliance. Zelenskyy also advocated for Ukrainian procurement of nuclear weapons.

Here’s what I think the scam is:

1. The Maidan Revolution was orchestrated by the CIA in order to set the stage for a provocation of Russia. Russian president, Vladimir Putin, had made it clear that he would not tolerate a NATO-aligned Ukraine. NATO, established specifically as an anti-Soviet alliance which has acted as an anti-Russian alliance since the fall of the Soviet Union, had repeatedly disregarded promises to Russia that it would not advance eastward and had established missile defense (offense?) systems capable of delivering nuclear warheads into Moscow on the Russian border with Poland and others.
2. Zelenskyy’s push for NATO membership and NATO’s support for Ukrainian membership was an intentional provocation of Russia, who is very aware of the aggressive regime-change policies of The West.
3. The Russian invasion of Ukraine green-lit the transfer of wealth and power from the productive class to the political class (the Military-Industrial Complex, or MIC) through hundreds of billions of dollars worth of weapons to Ukraine.
4. Ukraine has been destroyed in the war and will have to be rebuilt, probably by the MIC, who will profit from the destruction and reconstruction of Ukraine, similar to the Iraq War scam.
5. Former Dutch Prime Minister, Mark Rutte, has been employed, ostensibly, if not indirectly, by the MIC to sell the EU on spending, in perpetuity, 5% of EU GDP on MIC weapons in response to the completely fabricated “Russian Threat”.

So, the unfathomably corrupt MIC controls US and EU politicians and deep-state bureaucrats, like the CIA, (maybe they install the bureaucrats) through a mix of incentives for cooperation and disincentives for abstention or opposition, it profits from the weapons sales to Ukraine, profits from the reconstruction of Ukraine and then profits from the resulting weapons sales to the EU, forever. Undoubtedly, the 5% number will creep upwards.

I can’t ignore the possibility that Russia’s in on it. Why wouldn’t they be?

Israel

It’s never made sense to me that “Israel controls US foreign policy”. Just because there are evangelical politicians? I don’t buy that. What makes more sense to me is Adam Curry’s assertion that US and Israeli politicians and deep-state bureaucrats are controlled by the MIC. Curry claims that AIPAC is funded by the MIC through the American-Israeli Education Foundation (AIER). I haven’t been able to verify that. However, I think it’s likely that, if the rug were pulled back, we’d see that the MIC controls the operation behind the scenes, in the same way and for the same purpose as the Ukraine scam.

Here’s what I think the scam is:

1. The unfathomably corrupt MIC controls US politicians and deep-state bureaucrats (maybe they install the bureaucrats) through a mix of incentives for cooperation and disincentives for abstention or opposition. The incentives could be money and power, through the billions of dollars in “aid” to Israel and the disincentives might be the Epstein Files.
2. They use Israel to stir up violence in the middle east and as a base of operations for regime change in the region. The MIC profits from supplying the weapons to carry out the violence.
3. Regime change operations move the middle east toward unity when MIC-owned governments take control. The goal is an MEU (Middle-Eastern Union).
4. The point of Israel’s bombing of Lebanon, Qatar and Iran is to spark a wider middle-eastern war, and the MIC profits from the weapons sales.
5. With luck, the war lasts a long, profitable time and, in the end, the MIC profits from rebuilding.
6. After achieving the MEU, the MIC profits from weapons sales as a percentage of GDP, forever.

There’s more to it than that, of course, but that’s the gist. It makes a lot more sense than current middle-eastern/Israeli analysis. Backing Al Qaeda in Syria makes sense if their leadership, like al-Julani, were captured by the MIC. The only thing that’s missing is a scary enemy, like Russia, to justify the MEU weapons spending. Maybe the Iranian Terrorist State™ could fill that void; they are, after all, allied with Russia. With the right incentives/disincentives, they may be inclined to accept that role, if, in fact, the Scary Enemies are in on these scams.

What a great business model! All of this is just Europe and the Middle East! We’ve still got Asia, Africa and South America to go. There’re a couple of great Scary Enemies in China and Venezuela (both allied with Russia and Iran! Go Team Scary Enemies!). Not sure who they might use in Africa. Imagine all the war profits from unifying those regions and then, at the end of it all, you get 5% of global GDP!

This is just one of many political scams. How much of the world’s GDP is being generated this way?